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Factoid of the Month

State Budget Growth

 

Did you know that in the last 25 years Idaho’s annual state General Fund budget has grown from $360 million to over $2.1 billion? The state total fund budget has gone from $977 million to close to $5.5 billion during the same time period. Since FY 1980 the state’s General Fund budget has increased an average of 7.4% per year while the total fund growth rate has been 7.2% per year.

Why has Idaho’s state budget grown at such a fast rate? Two factors are population and inflation. During the same 25 year period Idaho’s population has gone from 939,000 in FY 1980 to an estimated 1,404,000 in FY 2005. That’s an increase of nearly 50%, or 1.6% per year. Inflation, as measured by the Consumer Price Index, has risen a total of 146%, an annual increase of 3.7%.

When adjusting for population growth and inflation, the state budget has still grown but at a much lower rate. Expenditures per Idaho resident adjusted for inflation reflects that the General Fund growth rate has averaged 2.0% per year while the total fund growth rate has averaged 1.7% per year between FY 1980 and FY 2005. The data is available in the table.

STATEWIDE GENERAL FUND AND TOTAL FUND EXPENDITURE HISTORY

FY 1980 - FY 2005

  Gen. Fund Total Fund Idaho Consumer Gen. Fund Total Fund
Fiscal Year Expenditures Expenditures Population Price Index Expnd./Res. in Expnd./Res. in
  ($ Millions) ($ Millions) (Millions) (FY 2005 = 1) FY 2005 Dollars FY 2005 Dollars
1980 $360.527 $977.283 0.939 0.406 $945.684 $2,563.473
1981 393.413 1,083.427 0.951 0.453 913.209 2,514.901
1982 408.715 1,118.825 0.971 0.492 855.532 2,341.951
1983 416.135 1,208.406 0.977 0.513 830.276 2,411.021
1984 483.905 1,266.340 0.987 0.532 921.576 2,411.690
1985 557.858 1,346.633 0.994 0.553 1,014.874 2,449.840
1986 570.068 1,394.780 0.993 0.569 1,008.940 2,468.563
1987 617.941 1,477.164 0.988 0.582 1,074.650 2,568.909
1988 658.401 1,557.475 0.987 0.606 1,100.780 2,603.942
1989 698.007 1,698.694 0.992 0.634 1,109.836 2,700.936
1990 784.907 1,887.270 1.003 0.664 1,178.553 2,833.773
1991 913.255 2,145.735 1.026 0.700 1,271.589 2,987.657
1992 991.015 2,313.270 1.056 0.723 1,298.010 3,029.871
1993 1,032.584 2,473.799 1.090 0.745 1,271.577 3,046.363
1994 1,108.049 2,572.294 1.127 0.765 1,285.209 2,983.563
1995 1,268.110 2,941.240 1.162 0.787 1,386.679 3,216.249
1996 1,337.565 3,092.427 1.191 0.808 1,389.926 3,213.485
1997 1,391.693 3,207.601 1.216 0.831 1,377.238 3,174.284
1998 1,446.610 3,297.737 1.241 0.846 1,377.873 3,141.043
1999 1,610.573 3,603.219 1.264 0.860 1,481.613 3,314.707
2000 1,680.769 3,865.280 1.288 0.886 1,472.850 3,387.126
2001 1,828.576 4,221.801 1.310 0.915 1,525.530 3,522.130
2002 1,979.522 4,492.462 1.332 0.932 1,594.558 3,618.797
2003 1,925.457 4,638.302 1.354 0.952 1,493.751 3,598.350
2004 1,987.199 4,879.874 1.378 0.973 1,482.106 3,639.540
2005 est. 2,112.315 5,473.811 1.404 1.000 1,504.498 3,898.726
Total 25 Yr. % Chng. 485.9% 460.1% 49.5% 146.3% 59.1% 52.1%
Ave. Annual % Chng. 7.4% 7.2% 1.6% 3.7% 2.0% 1.7%

 

The data still leaves us with the fact that Idaho’s state budget even after adjusting for population growth and inflation has grown at an average rate of around 2.0% a year over the last 25 years. The reasons for this growth are many. One of the principal factors, however, is that the public has been demanding more and better services. The state has picked up funding responsibilities that used to be provided by local government. Federal programs and mandates have had a big impact on the state budget. The courts have also played a part in expanding state government. The bottom line is state government exists to serve the people. It’s growth is a reflection of the needs of society.

 

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